this year, until they started the events in the northern Mediterranean countries, oil had already climbed 8.5%, which is added to 22% last year. This is due to global economic growth, which is the clearest explanatory variable price oil. If we see it in perspective, the past decade shows a stable price, between 20 and 40 dollars per barrel in the first two years, and then a steep climb to $ 80 in the boom years between 2003 and 2007. With the financial crisis there is speculation in 2008 and goes up to $ 150 to plummet to 40, from January 2009, the global economic recovery, would bring to $ 100. The ups and downs that are experiencing these days are concerned, the impact on the economy.
Oil continues the evolution of raw materials in the past decade, copper, for example, rose 435%, more than oil, and food 166%. This confirms that there is a tendency to rise the price for a continued strong demand from emerging countries, wasting energy growing and will account for 50% of the world's economy in five or six years.
developments in Arab countries have led to intense speculation about the price of oil, which will have a more or less durable depending on the direction to continue this country's political and social development. There are two models: one is Iran, where the authoritarian regime, followed by another governed by religious principles and the other is Turkey, a democracy in a secular state, but also with a strong religious substrate. Political and social stability in an area where people are fed in a despotic and arbitrary government (and this applies to countries rich and poor, with greater or lesser presence of radical Islam) will determine the price of oil, although it remains At higher levels, between 80 and 100 dollars, do not suffer seriously speculative movements that distort the economy.
Being so dependent on oil, the increases affect us, because not only are transferred to consumer prices, but international transport and tourism. Andalusia is also particularly sensitive to the increase is for agriculture. But the worst thing is that we live under the threat of lack of supply, as with gas, to a crisis of some gravity, so it is so important to have alternatives. Clean energy has been criticized for its high cost, but reduce our dependence on oil, the cost also is relative because we have to put in comparison with the cost of oil. So is nuclear energy. However, the most important thing is to use good energy saving, with cars, appliances and homes that use less, so that the party does not in this case, oil production and total consumption is declining. Here, as elsewhere, must be taken to follow a sensible behavioral principles, for the long term, unavoidable situations to deal with some strength. Gumersindo
Oil continues the evolution of raw materials in the past decade, copper, for example, rose 435%, more than oil, and food 166%. This confirms that there is a tendency to rise the price for a continued strong demand from emerging countries, wasting energy growing and will account for 50% of the world's economy in five or six years.
developments in Arab countries have led to intense speculation about the price of oil, which will have a more or less durable depending on the direction to continue this country's political and social development. There are two models: one is Iran, where the authoritarian regime, followed by another governed by religious principles and the other is Turkey, a democracy in a secular state, but also with a strong religious substrate. Political and social stability in an area where people are fed in a despotic and arbitrary government (and this applies to countries rich and poor, with greater or lesser presence of radical Islam) will determine the price of oil, although it remains At higher levels, between 80 and 100 dollars, do not suffer seriously speculative movements that distort the economy.
Being so dependent on oil, the increases affect us, because not only are transferred to consumer prices, but international transport and tourism. Andalusia is also particularly sensitive to the increase is for agriculture. But the worst thing is that we live under the threat of lack of supply, as with gas, to a crisis of some gravity, so it is so important to have alternatives. Clean energy has been criticized for its high cost, but reduce our dependence on oil, the cost also is relative because we have to put in comparison with the cost of oil. So is nuclear energy. However, the most important thing is to use good energy saving, with cars, appliances and homes that use less, so that the party does not in this case, oil production and total consumption is declining. Here, as elsewhere, must be taken to follow a sensible behavioral principles, for the long term, unavoidable situations to deal with some strength. Gumersindo
Ruiz.
(Grupo Joly 03/01/2011)
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